Forecasting Research Institute
23 predictions spanning 2026-2050
2026
2030
- AI capabilities advance substantially by 2030
- Rapid AI progress lifts GDP growth to 3.3%
- Rapid AI progress pushes participation to 59.3% by 2030
- AI consumes 4% of U.S. electricity by 2030
- Clerical and machine-operator employment declines by 2030
- Generative AI assists 10% of U.S. work hours
- Rapid AI progress has 14% chance by 2030
- Richest 10% hold 73% of U.S. wealth by 2030
- Total factor productivity growth reaches 1.2% by 2030
- U.S. GDP growth holds near 2.5% through 2030
- U.S. labor force participation falls to 61% by 2030
2050
- Rapid AI progress cuts participation to 55% by 2050
- Generative AI assists 40% of U.S. work hours
- Labor's share of output falls to 45% under rapid AI
- Rapid AI progress lifts GDP growth to 3.5%
- Richest 10% hold 80% of wealth under rapid AI
- U.S. GDP growth holds near 2.5% through 2050
- U.S. labor force participation falls to 58.3% by 2050
- AI consumes 8% of U.S. electricity by 2050
- Rapid AI progress cuts blue-collar work to 8% of the labor force
- Real median household income reaches $93,000 by 2050
- U.S. unemployment stays near 5% through 2050