U.S. labor force participation falls to 58.3% by 2050

7.8 significance by Forecasting Research Institute Jobs December 2050

Why does it matter?

Four points off participation means millions fewer workers supporting the same public commitments.

Direct quote

By the beginning of 2050, economists expect a LFPR of 58.3% in the unconditional scenario and 55.0% when assuming the rapid scenario, with roughly half of that decline—equivalent to around 10 million lost jobs—likely attributable to AI rather than demographics and other non-AI trends.

Forecasting Research Institute