Research
19 predictions spanning 2026-2029
2026
2027
- AI autonomously builds the next AI generation
- AI triples a major lab's algorithmic progress
- A major lab's algorithmic progress reaches 4x
- AI research progress reaches 10x
- AI research progress reaches 50x
- A major lab runs 200,000 AI researcher copies
- Major algorithmic breakthroughs create a new AI system
- AI systems dominate a major lab's research
- 300,000 AI copies run at 50x human speed
- Safer AI reaches 20x research progress
- A team starts working on core AGI ideas by 2027