Francois Chollet

Original source

4 predictions spanning 2025-2030

2025

Current AI remains far below human efficiency
7.0 significance by Francois Chollet Capabilities

2026

ARC-AGI-3 tests agentic skill acquisition in early 2026
5.8 significance by Francois Chollet Research

2027

A team starts working on core AGI ideas by 2027
7.0 significance by Francois Chollet Research

2030

AGI arrives around 2030
7.0 significance by Francois Chollet Capabilities