When Will AI?
Timeline
Forecasters
Categories
Francois Chollet
3 predictions spanning 2026-2030
0% pessimistic
100% optimistic
2026
ARC-AGI-3 tests agentic skill acquisition in early 2026
5.8 significance
by
Francois Chollet
·
Research
2027
A team starts working on core AGI ideas by 2027
7.0 significance
by
Francois Chollet
·
Research
2030
AGI arrives around 2030
7.0 significance
by
Francois Chollet
·
Capabilities