When Will AI?
Thousands of AI Authors
Original source
8 predictions spanning 2027-2116
2027
Machines have 10% chance to beat humans at all tasks
8.0 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Capabilities
2028
AI builds payment processing websites
5.6 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Capabilities
AI decision explanations remain unlikely
5.6 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Safety
AI fine-tunes open-source LLMs
5.6 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Research
AI makes songs indistinguishable from artists
5.6 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Capabilities
2037
All occupations have 10% chance to be automatable
5.6 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Jobs
2047
Machines have 50% chance to beat humans at all tasks
8.0 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Capabilities
2116
All occupations have 50% chance to be automatable
5.6 significance
by
Thousands of AI Authors
·
Jobs