AI research progress speeds up 3x

8.0 significance by Leopold Aschenbrenner Research December 2028

Why does it matter?

A 3x research speedup would make each calendar year contain several years of AI-lab progress.

Direct quote

2027/28: Proto-automated AI researchers automate more than 90% of the work and accelerate progress by 3x+. This quickly does the remaining necessary work to get to superintelligence.

Leopold Aschenbrenner