Dario Amodei
21 predictions spanning 2026-2034
2026
2027
- AI autonomously builds the next AI generation
- AI displaces half of entry-level white-collar jobs
- AI reaches Nobel-level expertise across fields
- Powerful AI arrives as soon as 2027
- AI handles hours-to-weeks tasks autonomously
- Frontier training runs need five gigawatts
- U.S. builds fifty AI-dedicated gigawatts
- AI uses digital tools and lab equipment
- Millions of AI instances run at 10x-100x human speed
- Security-relevant AI capabilities advance by 2027
2031
- AI compresses fifty years of biology into five
- AI makes lifespan doubling possible
- Most cancer mortality and incidence falls sharply
- Most genetic disease becomes preventable or curable
- Most infectious disease becomes preventable or treatable
- Most mental illness becomes treatable or curable
- AI health gains reach the poorest countries
- Developing countries begin rapid AI catch-up