Why does it matter?
A 4% drop in office and professional jobs is a real squeeze, but unemployment near 4.6% is nothing like a jobs crisis.
Direct quote
Views vary widely, but the median respondent's answers are consistent with our substantial change scenario in which, by 2030, GDP rises by 8 percent and cognitive employment declines by 4 percent. The model offers a structured way to compare possibilities for our economic future under different expectations about AI.
Anthropic Institute