When Will AI?
Timeline
Forecasters
Categories
Science
3 predictions spanning 2028-2031
0% pessimistic
100% optimistic
2028
AI reaches research-level scientific performance
8.8 significance
by
International AI Safety Report
·
Science
2030
AI has 39% public odds of a Nobel-level discovery
7.8 significance
by
Anthropic Institute
·
Science
2031
AI compresses fifty years of biology into five
9.0 significance
by
Dario Amodei
·
Science
Made by @jaymehoffman