AGI arrives by 2027

8.0 significance by Leopold Aschenbrenner Capabilities December 2027

Why does it matter?

A 2027 AGI arrival would make today's policy, security, and infrastructure choices suddenly urgent.

Direct quote

We are on course for AGI by 2027. These AI systems will basically be drop-in remote workers, able to automate large fractions of cognitive jobs.

Leopold Aschenbrenner