When Will AI?
Timeline
Forecasters
Categories
AI Futures Project
7 predictions spanning 2027-2035
43% pessimistic
57% optimistic
2027
AI replaces human software engineers at a leading lab
10.0 significance
by
AI Futures Project
·
Jobs
AGI has 9-23% chance by end of 2027
10.0 significance
by
AI Futures Project
·
Capabilities
2028
AI matches top human experts at nearly all cognitive tasks
10.0 significance
by
AI Futures Project
·
Capabilities
AI surpasses the best human software engineers
10.0 significance
by
AI Futures Project
·
Capabilities
2029
Superintelligent AI arrives
10.0 significance
by
AI Futures Project
·
Capabilities
2030
Coding is fully automated with 60% odds by 2030
10.0 significance
by
AI Futures Project
·
Jobs
2035
Coding is fully automated with 80% odds by 2035
10.0 significance
by
AI Futures Project
·
Jobs