AI matches top human experts at nearly all cognitive tasks

10.0 significance by AI Futures Project Capabilities December 2028

Why does it matter?

Expert-level AI across every field would put most knowledge work within reach of a machine.

Direct quote

Below, we include plots that extend our analysis of how our views have changed since publishing AI 2027. When we refer to AGI in the below plots, we mean Top-Expert-Dominating AI: an AI that is at least as good as top human experts at virtually all cognitive tasks.

AI Futures Project