Coding is fully automated with 60% odds by 2030

10.0 significance by AI Futures Project Jobs January 2030

Why does it matter?

Even the most cautious author on the team gives full coding automation better than even odds this decade.

Direct quote

Overall, the model's 70% on AC by Jan 2030 and nearly 90% by Jan 2035 feels too confident, so I reduce these to 60% and 80%.

AI Futures Project