Machines have 50% chance to beat humans at all tasks

8.0 significance by Thousands of AI Authors Capabilities December 2047

Why does it matter?

A 50% date for all-task superiority is a central benchmark for broad machine capability.

Direct quote

If science continues undisrupted, the chance of unaided machines outperforming humans in every possible task was estimated at 10% by 2027, and 50% by 2047.

Thousands of AI Authors