Why does it matter? A public AGI announcement in the early 2030s would make transformative AI a planning issue for this decade. Related predictions Weak general AI becomes publicly available 9.0 significance by Metaculus AGI· Capabilities A major AI company announces AGI 10.0 significance by AI 2027· Capabilities A misaligned AI system achieves superintelligence 10.0 significance by AI 2027· Capabilities AGI has 9-23% chance by end of 2027 10.0 significance by AI Futures Project· Capabilities Superhuman AI is publicly released 10.0 significance by AI 2027· Capabilities A misaligned AI becomes wildly superintelligent 10.0 significance by AI 2027· Capabilities